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Post by trackrat on May 22, 2010 6:19:02 GMT -5
With ten horses in the field, this should be an interesting race.
I look for #1 Hawk's Cry Electra to take advantage of her rail position and storm out of the gate, vying with #2 Cowboy's Dreamer for the early lead. Although the Dreamer shows that she likes to race from behind, with ten horses on a small track, she might never get out from the rail to rally from the outside, so she needs to get the lead early or hug the rail.
If the outside cover develops at or before the 1/4 mark, then there is a possibility that #9 Got No Brakes (Charlino) and #10 Sand Windsor (Merriman) might get locked in behind the two pacesetters.
A lot depends on what horses leave the gate from the outside and which ones are in the position to make the 1/4 move.
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Post by cliff on May 22, 2010 15:17:01 GMT -5
Trip handicapping again, TR? I thought we broke you of that habit some time ago. Three year olds are always a crap shoot, so it will be a good one to watch, but I wouldn't put much money into it. The connections of Cowboys Dreamer put up 10 large to get her into the race, so they didn't come down here to lose. She does look the best, but we really don't know how much some of these others have improved over the winter. One always likes a speed horse with the rail ( Hawk's Cry Electra), and Sand Windsor looked to have some left in her romp last week. I've seen Budgirls Hanover race this year, she's quality, but the post is a killer. Don't know much about the rest, but those are the four I'd keep an eye on. Good Luck
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Post by thegiss on May 22, 2010 16:49:06 GMT -5
From the Smokin With The Giss Blog, northfieldpark.blogspot.com/Race 12: $109,000 Miller Lite Courageous Lady- 10 Sand Windsor- Impressed me last week and will be a decent price with this draw, may shoot the gap; 2 Cowboys Dreamer- $10K supplement may not like the shorter stretch, can she leave? 1 Hawk’s Cry Electra- Some slow fractions are a worry; 4 Miss Sand Creek- Fresh and could be anything. Analysis- The Courageous Lady is an interesting race. I have picked Sand Windsor who impressed the heck out of me Friday-- she could have won in 55 with me driving. The problem will be the 10 hole. But, with the other two favorites inside, I think she will be able to "Shoot the gap" and be somewhat forward early. I am hoping that Virgil is just trying to teach Hawk's Cry Electra to race in a hole, but the 2:02 Q is worrisome, as were her fractions in the Hackett. I am told Cowboys Dreamer can leave like a rocket and will be on the front, but I am not sure I believe that. There are several very green horses who could step up at any time, and that means probably hitting the all button for third and fourth, as much as it pains me to do so. Good Luck!
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Post by thegiss on May 22, 2010 22:53:36 GMT -5
Not quite the trip I figured, but I still felt she could win first over...my concern was Aaron finding clear sailing at some point, and with Sand Windsor as rammy as she was, we got a bit lucky. Not a huge play, but one of my better hits in awhile.
Should have parlayed it on Muhammad Ali who paid $10+ in the next race.
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