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Post by the believer on Oct 15, 2010 18:15:40 GMT -5
Hoping to get a discussion going on how you handicap a race at Northfield with a nine horse field.
I'll start with a few things i look for
A- Look at the race conditions , sometimes a horse just gets into the race by a few bucks
B- Look for the contenders , if more than 3 or 4 contenders i'll skip the race
C-Form , i love a horse who's got sharp form and moving up in class
D-Driver , see if you can find a horse that can beat Charlino's choice of horse to drive
ok cappers let's here a few from you
Junior and the Giss , you daily Nfld cappers it would be great to here a few pointers fon what you do on any given race day in and day out
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Post by junior on Oct 16, 2010 4:57:01 GMT -5
Hoping to get a discussion going on how you handicap a race at Northfield with a nine horse field. I'll start with a few things i look for A- Look at the race conditions , sometimes a horse just gets into the race by a few bucks B- Look for the contenders , if more than 3 or 4 contenders i'll skip the race C-Form , i love a horse who's got sharp form and moving up in class D-Driver , see if you can find a horse that can beat Charlino's choice of horse to drive ok cappers let's here a few from you Junior and the Giss , you daily Nfld cappers it would be great to here a few pointers fon what you do on any given race day in and day out first thing i do when i get the program is go through the card to see if any of my horses to watch are running that night next i look through the card to see if there are any big driver changes...driver changes are important at any track but at Northfield they are huge you can handicap all you want early in the day but its so important to watch the board....early money is important but late money is where it's at because it takes more money to move the odds closer to post......now if you have a horse taking early AND late money...jump on him! (unless of course it's a horse that gets early money each week from the owner..like when Scott use to bet $1,000 on Rackem's Road) ;D |
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Post by thegiss on Oct 16, 2010 15:03:58 GMT -5
It is also important, imo, to watch warmups, or at least post parades. I recently posted elsewhere how hard it is for me, 'capping cards two days in advance, to get it right. Then I go on the air and do my picks, before the post parade. Impossible. And I cannot go to the windows and bet a horse I haven't given out. So i lose some opporutnities.
I am a huge angle player, and like Junior said, driver changes are huge at Northfield. Not just programmed changes, but late changes. I think we do a pretty good job announcing changes (yes, I miss a few on air) and running them on a crawl, but a lot of folks at remote locations do not pay attention and that leaves a chance for value, too.
And Junior's point about early money can be a trap, as he pointed out with his Rackem's Road example. While it can be an angle, do not let the board talk you out of your own opinion.
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kudsu
New Member
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Post by kudsu on Oct 21, 2010 8:18:47 GMT -5
like when Scott use to bet $1,000 on Rackem's Road) ;D ;D ;D   |
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