Post by cliff on Oct 28, 2006 10:45:40 GMT -5
From the notebook:
In all but two races, the winner was a horse who had either won one of his last two starts or who had finished a tight second, The exceptions were race 1 and race 13 where none of the entrants were in good enough form to have finished first or second in their last two starts. In those two cheap races, class won out.
Horses moving up in class won, outside posts won, various drivers won. None of these factors were as important as form. It seemed much more like a Saturday (form and post, post and form) than a typical Friday. If one had simply played the sharpies in the pic3's and pic4 one could have made a killing.
Now you may argue that it was the Aaron Merriman show, and you would be right. But I think Aaron would agree that he had some sharp horses to work with all evening. In the two afore mentioned 1 & 13, he brought both class droppers home.
So my take is that on a soggy evening, form trumps all other considerations.
In all but two races, the winner was a horse who had either won one of his last two starts or who had finished a tight second, The exceptions were race 1 and race 13 where none of the entrants were in good enough form to have finished first or second in their last two starts. In those two cheap races, class won out.
Horses moving up in class won, outside posts won, various drivers won. None of these factors were as important as form. It seemed much more like a Saturday (form and post, post and form) than a typical Friday. If one had simply played the sharpies in the pic3's and pic4 one could have made a killing.
Now you may argue that it was the Aaron Merriman show, and you would be right. But I think Aaron would agree that he had some sharp horses to work with all evening. In the two afore mentioned 1 & 13, he brought both class droppers home.
So my take is that on a soggy evening, form trumps all other considerations.
I have no clue what happened. Corky got her off the rail ok, but the horse wouldn't go. Because she backed up so quickly, I can only surmise something bad must have happened, any of your suggestions is plausible.